CES Countdown #5: Are the world's digital plans killing mobile DTV?

CES 13 Coundown banner (300px)Here's a very familiar theme for us every year: Despite not only manufacturers' own best efforts but also certain governments' own regulatory bodies to drive and even enforce industry standards, there's no one way to do digital mobile TV.

Despite the push from manufacturers, mobile carriers and government regulatory agencies, mobile digital television has failed to make an impact on the world like it did in South Korea.

There has been doubt about the viability of mobile digital television for years, and in 2008, we watched the different approaches of the US and EU toward hastening its adoption yield ultimately the same result. At CES last year, Ambassador and US Coordinator for International Communications and Information Policy David A. Gross expressed the US' attitude as more lassiez-faire, letting the market decide what format is best, and watching it go from there. European Commissioner for Information Society and the Media Viviane Reding, took the opposite stance, with the EC choosing which standard carriers would be best suited to use.

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At that time, the US favored Qualcomm's MediaFLO, with the nation's two biggest mobile carriers, AT&T and Verizon, offering mobile TV based upon the standard. The EC's choice of DVB-H was rolled out by a number of carriers in Europe, with some notable exceptions, but neither has experienced the growth mobile DTV proponents foresaw.

With the US' digital television broadcast switch only a matter of weeks away, a sort of last-minute mobile DTV standard was completed by the Open Mobile Video Coalition, consisting of US broadcasters and South Korean manufacturers LG and Samsung. The OMVC's standard would be similar to those successful deployments in South Korea.

BetaNews will keep its antennae out for United States-bound, ATSC-compatible devices from those companies on the CES show floor next week, but we have our reservations about the strength of such showings this time around.

Mobile digital TV remains a multi-billion dollar market in potentia, and won't become a mainstream service for another two years, according to most analysts.

Earlier this year, Nielsen Mobile data estimated that only 2% of US mobile phone users are consuming mobile TV, while 36% of circulating handsets are capable of receiving broadcasts. Media analysis firm comScore reports from August placed non-unicast video consumption marginally higher at 2.8%. This type of video consumption consists largely of viral and user-generated content that users can watch as part of an existing data plan.

A 2006 survey of European mobile television users found that there were actually more former mobile TV users than active ones. Users stopped consuming mobile TV due to the cost, and the poor quality and reliability. Increasingly, users look to be stripping out the extra cost of a mobile TV package by accessing digested and user-generated video content on tried sites such as YouTube.


FOLLOW THE COUNTDOWN:

  • #13: Can automotive electronics maintain forward momentum? by Angela Gunn
  • #12: Has streaming media already rendered discs obsolete? by Tim Conneally
  • #11: Are the desktop PC's days waning? by Scott Fulton
  • #10: Can technology keep television relevant in the digital era? by Tim Conneally
  • #9: Will the smartphone become the 'new PC?' by Jacqueline Emigh
  • #8: Can smart HDTVs bypass the 'media PC' altogether? by Scott Fulton
  • #7: Will someone please do something about battery life? by Jacqueline Emigh
  • #6: Can the PC adapt to the commodity business model? by Scott Fulton

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